By the Numbers: Week 16's Interesting Stats

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Football Jonathan Bales By the Numbers Select Another ColumnWeek 16's Interesting StatsWeek 15's Interesting StatsWeek 14's Interesting StatsWeek 13's Interesting StatsWeek 12's Interesting Stats Week 16's Interesting StatsMonday, December 22, 2014

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Raise your hand if you started Ryan Tannehill, Frank Gore, Jonathan Stewart, and Luke Willson in your fantasy championship. No? What about Eli Manning to Rueben Randle against one of the league’s top defenses over the past month of the season?

There was a decent amount of scoring in Week 16—particularly in the late contests—but hardly any of it came from the usual suspects. Check that: Odell Beckham Jr. continues to prove me wrong with a measly line of 8/148/2 to lead all wide receivers, but that’s basically his average stat line at this point.

 

132.5: Eli Manning’s passer rating when targeting Odell Beckham in 2014

We hear all the time about how much a great quarterback can help a wide receiver, but the reverse is also true, and Odell Beckham is Exhibit A.

Beckham is currently 12th in the NFL in receiving yards and fourth among wide receiver in touchdowns despite being just 26th in targets. When throwing to the rookie, quarterback Eli Manning has thrown for 10.4 YPA, which is ridiculous, with an 11-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. His 132.5 passer rating leads the NFL.

As long as Beckham is healthy, the Giants have a sneaky explosive offense heading into 2015.




0.11: Andrew Luck’s fantasy points per dropback

I’m ashamed to admit that Luck was my top fantasy quarterback in Week 16. Somehow, some way, the Dallas Cowboys turned one of the game’s great quarterbacks into the least-efficient passer in the league on Sunday; Luck’s 0.11 fantasy points per dropback ranked last. All but four quarterbacks doubled Luck’s efficiency through the air.

The Cowboys beat Luck by not letting him get the ball downfield, which was made easier due to the absence of T.Y. Hilton. Luck actually completed 15 of his 22 passes, but threw two picks and managed only 109 yards. His average pass traveled just 6.2 yards past the line-of-scrimmage, per Pro Football Focus.

 

3.06: Julio Jones’ yards per route

Jones was somewhat limited after being a true game-time decision on Sunday, but he quietly caught all seven of his targets. Jones managed 107 yards on just 35 pass snaps—good for 3.06 yards per route. The number actually increased Jones’ efficiency to 2.83 yards per route on the season, which ranks him second in the NFL behind A.J. Green.

Need evidence that yards per route is an accurate indicator of receiver quality? Consider that Demaryius Thomas, Dez Bryant, and Beckham round out the top five.

 

9.8: Marshawn Lynch’s YPC after contact

Beast Mode went Beast Mode on Sunday night, recording 9.8 yards per carry after contact, according to Pro Football Focus, which led the league. That’s nearly a full first down per run after getting hit. His 79-yard highlight-reel touchdown run certainly helped his cause.

Lynch isn’t typically considered an elusive running back, but he leads the NFL not only in yards after contact per carry, but also in forcing missed tackles. Actually, Pro Football Focus has tracked Lynch as forcing 85 missed tackles on his runs, which are 25 more than any other running back in the league.

When you consider that DeMarco Murray and Arian Foster also rank in the top four in missed tackles forced, you can get a sense that forcing defenders to miss is perhaps easier with power than true agility.

 

30: Percentage of all Week 16 tight end drops from Dwayne Allen

It was a game to forget all around for the Colts, particularly tight end Dwayne Allen. Despite not playing for much of the game, Allen dropped three passes against the Cowboys. Here’s a look at how poorly Allen played in Week 16 compared to all other tight ends.

Allen: 3 targets, 3 drops (100%)

All other tight ends: 201 targets, 7 drops (3.5%)

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The top tight end in Week 16 was undoubtedly Zach Ertz, who came out of nowhere to nab a franchise-record 15 passes. I was bullish on Ertz in the preseason, but I had no idea he was planning to provide his entire season’s worth of production (actually just 28 percent) in a single game.

Raise your hand if you started Ryan Tannehill, Frank Gore, Jonathan Stewart, and Luke Willson in your fantasy championship. No? What about Eli Manning to Rueben Randle against one of the league’s top defenses over the past month of the season?

There was a decent amount of scoring in Week 16—particularly in the late contests—but hardly any of it came from the usual suspects. Check that: Odell Beckham Jr. continues to prove me wrong with a measly line of 8/148/2 to lead all wide receivers, but that’s basically his average stat line at this point.

 

132.5: Eli Manning’s passer rating when targeting Odell Beckham in 2014

We hear all the time about how much a great quarterback can help a wide receiver, but the reverse is also true, and Odell Beckham is Exhibit A.

Beckham is currently 12th in the NFL in receiving yards and fourth among wide receiver in touchdowns despite being just 26th in targets. When throwing to the rookie, quarterback Eli Manning has thrown for 10.4 YPA, which is ridiculous, with an 11-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. His 132.5 passer rating leads the NFL.

As long as Beckham is healthy, the Giants have a sneaky explosive offense heading into 2015.




0.11: Andrew Luck’s fantasy points per dropback

I’m ashamed to admit that Luck was my top fantasy quarterback in Week 16. Somehow, some way, the Dallas Cowboys turned one of the game’s great quarterbacks into the least-efficient passer in the league on Sunday; Luck’s 0.11 fantasy points per dropback ranked last. All but four quarterbacks doubled Luck’s efficiency through the air.

The Cowboys beat Luck by not letting him get the ball downfield, which was made easier due to the absence of T.Y. Hilton. Luck actually completed 15 of his 22 passes, but threw two picks and managed only 109 yards. His average pass traveled just 6.2 yards past the line-of-scrimmage, per Pro Football Focus.

 

3.06: Julio Jones’ yards per route

Jones was somewhat limited after being a true game-time decision on Sunday, but he quietly caught all seven of his targets. Jones managed 107 yards on just 35 pass snaps—good for 3.06 yards per route. The number actually increased Jones’ efficiency to 2.83 yards per route on the season, which ranks him second in the NFL behind A.J. Green.

Need evidence that yards per route is an accurate indicator of receiver quality? Consider that Demaryius Thomas, Dez Bryant, and Beckham round out the top five.

 

9.8: Marshawn Lynch’s YPC after contact

Beast Mode went Beast Mode on Sunday night, recording 9.8 yards per carry after contact, according to Pro Football Focus, which led the league. That’s nearly a full first down per run after getting hit. His 79-yard highlight-reel touchdown run certainly helped his cause.

Lynch isn’t typically considered an elusive running back, but he leads the NFL not only in yards after contact per carry, but also in forcing missed tackles. Actually, Pro Football Focus has tracked Lynch as forcing 85 missed tackles on his runs, which are 25 more than any other running back in the league.

When you consider that DeMarco Murray and Arian Foster also rank in the top four in missed tackles forced, you can get a sense that forcing defenders to miss is perhaps easier with power than true agility.

 

30: Percentage of all Week 16 tight end drops from Dwayne Allen

It was a game to forget all around for the Colts, particularly tight end Dwayne Allen. Despite not playing for much of the game, Allen dropped three passes against the Cowboys. Here’s a look at how poorly Allen played in Week 16 compared to all other tight ends.

Allen: 3 targets, 3 drops (100%)

All other tight ends: 201 targets, 7 drops (3.5%)

The top tight end in Week 16 was undoubtedly Zach Ertz, who came out of nowhere to nab a franchise-record 15 passes. I was bullish on Ertz in the preseason, but I had no idea he was planning to provide his entire season’s worth of production (actually just 28 percent) in a single game.

Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series and founder of RotoAcademy -- a fantasy football training school. He can be found on Twitter @BalesFootball.
Email :Jonathan Bales

NFL Headlines DEN:Broncos lead way with 9 Pro Bowl selections FA:Vikings give up on Ben Tate after five games ATL:Falcons SS Moore headed to injured reserve BUF:Kyle Orton starting Week 17 versus Patriots CIN:A.J. Green (arm) escapes with only 'swelling' NYJ:Jets expect Harvin (ribs) to miss Week 17 CLE:Hoyer trending in wrong direction for Sunday GB:Aaron Rodgers (calf) practicing on Tuesday IND:T.Y. Hilton (hamstring) returns to practice BAL:Justin Forsett insists his ankle is 'fine' TB:Bucs can clinch No. 1 overall pick w/ a loss CIN:A.J. Green (arm) expects to play in Week 17 Headlines: NFL | MLB | NBA | NHL | GOLF | NAS | CFB | BPL By the Numbers Articles :: Week 16's Interesting Stats :: Week 15's Interesting Stats :: Week 14's Interesting Stats :: Week 13's Interesting Stats :: Week 12's Interesting Stats
Highest Searched Players over the last 7 days 1J. JonesATL (8463)2T. HiltonIND (8240)3D. MurrayDAL (7942)4P. ManningDEN (6353)5M. LynchSEA (5341) 6E. SandersDEN (4841)7J. CutlerCHI (4747)8C. NewtonCAR (4544)9D. HopkinsHOU (4506)10F. GoreSF (4338)

Jonathan Bales Articles :: Week 16's Interesting Stats :: Week 15's Interesting Stats :: Week 14's Interesting Stats :: Week 13's Interesting Stats :: Week 12's Interesting Stats
Video Center « 1 2 3 4 »  
Levitan: Week 17 plug-n-plays 
Beer's NBA 6-Pack: Monday 
Bales: Luck's Week 16 struggle 
Beer's NFL 6 Pack - WR & TE 
Friday's Fantasy Minute 
RotoPat: Week 16 Rankings 
Week 16 Difference Makers 
Beer's NFL 6 Pack - QB & RB
  Headlines Dose: Ben Tate Cut Again
Dec 24 Jeff Brubach recaps news and notes from around the NFL, including the end of Ben Tate in Minnesota.

More NFL Columns »Dose: Ben Tate Cut Again Dec 24 »Waiver Wire: Week 17 Dec 23 »Stock Watch: Early 2015 Look Dec 23 »Dose: Bengals Stun Broncos Dec 23 »Romo Rewriting The Narrative Dec 22 »Week 16's Interesting Stats Dec 22 »Injury Roundup: Week 16 Dec 22 »Live Blog: Week 16 Dec 21 NFL Headlines »Broncos lead way with 9 Pro Bowl selections »Vikings give up on Ben Tate after five games »Falcons SS Moore headed to injured reserve »Kyle Orton starting Week 17 versus Patriots »A.J. Green (arm) escapes with only 'swelling' »Jets expect Harvin (ribs) to miss Week 17 »Hoyer trending in wrong direction for Sunday »Aaron Rodgers (calf) practicing on Tuesday »T.Y. Hilton (hamstring) returns to practice »Justin Forsett insists his ankle is 'fine' »Bucs can clinch No. 1 overall pick w/ a loss »A.J. Green (arm) expects to play in Week 17 NFL Links »Daily Fantasy Section »Enter Week 17's $2.5 Million Fantasy League »NFL Depth Charts »NFL Contracts »Rotoworld Fantasy Football Season Pass »FanDuel Week 16: Build your lineups like a robot Site Links Advertising Jobs Help / Contact Us Privacy Policy AdChoices (function () { var e = document, b, a = (e.location.protocol == "https:" ? "https" : "http"), c = (a == "https" ? "https://info.evidon.com/c/betrad/pub/" : "http://cdn.betrad.com/pub/"); e.getElementById("_bapw-icon").src = c + "icon1.png"; e.getElementById("_bapw-link").onclick = function () { var f = this; function d(i, l) { var j = e.getElementsByTagName("head")[0] || e.documentElement, h = false, g = e.createElement("script"); function k() { g.onload = g.onreadystatechange = null; j.removeChild(g); l() } g.src = i; g.onreadystatechange = function () { if (!h && (this.readyState == "loaded" || this.readyState == "complete")) { h = true; k() } }; g.onload = k; j.insertBefore(g, j.firstChild) } this.onclick = "return false"; d(a + "://ajax.googleapis.com/ajax/libs/jquery/1.4.4/jquery.min.js", function () { d(c + "pub1.js", function () { BAPW.i(f, { pid: 200, ocid: 908 }, false) }) }); return false }; b = new Image(); b.src = a + "://l.betrad.com/pub/p.gif?pid=200&ocid=908&ii=1&r=" + Math.random() } ()); Terms of Service Site Map Independent Programming Report Tickets Facebook Facebook Twitter Rotoworld - @Rotoworld Football - @Rotoworld_FB Baseball - @Rotoworld_BB Basketball - @Rotoworld_BK Hockey - @Rotoworld_HK Golf - @Rotoworld_GF NFL Draft - @Rotoworld_Draft Premier League - @Rotoworld_PL Fantasy Guides Baseball Draft Guide Baseball Season Pass Football Draft Guide  Football Season Pass Basketball Draft Guide  Basketball Season Pass Hockey Draft Guide  Hockey Season Pass 2014 © NBC Sports Digital.
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